Here are my predictions for UFC 78. For fun, I've added how and when each fight will be won. Predictions with this much detail are rarely right, but at least we'll see how close I come with the wins/losses.
[Correctly guessed wins in blue; incorrect in red]
Bisping vs. Evans - Evans by early stoppage, R3
Silva vs. Alexander - Silva by early stoppage, R2 *
Doerksen vs. Herman - Doerksen by early stoppage, R1
Chonan vs. Parisyan - Parisyan by decision
Edgar vs. Fisher - Edgar by decision **
Lytle vs. Alves - Alves by early stoppage, R3 ***
Reinhardt vs. Lauzon - Lauzon by early stoppage, R2
Caudillo vs. Aurelio - Aurelio by early stoppage, R3
Gono vs. McCrory - Gono by early stoppage, R3 ****
* I realize that this is an unpopular prediction, but I believe Silva will weather Alexander's early attempts to finish the fight. Silva will have better endurance entering R2, and he will finish Alexander before the bell.
** This one was very difficult to call. I switched names twice. I finally went with Edgar for his speed and endurance, though I believe Fisher is more well-rounded.
*** Another tough one to call. Went back and forth, watched/rewatched several fights on UFC On Demand. Both Lytle and Alves have looked great recently. Lytle is on a two win streak; Alves is on a three win streak. Very slight advantage to Alves for youth and endurance. I have it as "early stoppage" above, but this could just as easily go to a decision.
**** Yet another tough one. Too bad this fight is not scheduled for broadcast. Gono is very experienced, has fought some well-known fighters, has great takedowns. McCrory is a banger -- fast, furious, and tall. To the casual UFC fan, these two are probably the least well-known on the card. Gono's experience will win him this fight.
Monday, November 12, 2007
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